Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.207739 0.241121 0.279961 0.328939 0.389692 0.463430 0.561032
2025-03-02 0.156640 0.198000 0.252015 0.329579 0.441355 0.602086 0.861784
2025-03-09 0.126258 0.169390 0.230576 0.327485 0.484920 0.746655 1.255949
2025-03-16 0.105373 0.147668 0.211487 0.320550 0.515852 0.883717 1.734793
2025-03-23 0.093958 0.136844 0.205241 0.330671 0.577438 1.105301 2.583332
2025-03-30 0.082443 0.123518 0.191784 0.323913 0.603979 1.269983 3.484179
2025-04-06 0.075150 0.115677 0.185777 0.328904 0.656311 1.528334 5.065777
2025-04-13 0.067985 0.106905 0.176397 0.324586 0.685927 1.748760 6.958763
2025-04-20 0.063258 0.101659 0.172505 0.330634 0.743727 2.102715 10.516538
2025-04-27 0.059559 0.097718 0.170369 0.339949 0.814879 2.574018 16.916368
2025-05-04 0.056167 0.093884 0.167772 0.347518 0.885327 3.127682 28.064048
2025-05-11 0.053355 0.090788 0.166168 0.357149 0.968051 3.856746 50.845844
2025-05-18 0.050400 0.087151 0.163036 0.362663 1.043109 4.693044 97.855542
2025-05-25 0.047524 0.083370 0.159076 0.365207 1.111020 5.643022 204.441072
2025-06-01 0.044668 0.079328 0.153964 0.363367 1.162411 6.620102 458.325531
2025-06-08 0.041755 0.074882 0.147333 0.355595 1.185959 7.460021 1053.802412
2025-06-15 0.040257 0.073247 0.147085 0.367239 1.306591 9.673909 7851.660952
2025-06-22 0.037851 0.069449 0.141130 0.359511 1.330198 10.933390 70179.656029
2025-06-29 0.036346 0.067464 0.139385 0.365234 1.429712 13.771814 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034462 0.064483 0.134778 0.360288 1.469001 15.977563 NaN
2025-07-13 0.033266 0.062927 0.133627 0.367220 1.586094 20.706285 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032305 0.061814 0.133489 0.377905 1.739550 28.247776 NaN
2025-07-27 0.031321 0.060562 0.132825 0.386598 1.891611 38.588875 NaN